Ignored By Dinosaurs 🦕

For those of you following along at home, here's The Case Against Apple–in Five Parts. It's a broader version of my “Phases of iPhone Ownership”. Enjoy.

[!info] Reprinted with permission from Jason Calacanis, CEO of Mahalo.com and co-founder of the TechCrunch50.com conference taking place on September 14-15th in San Francisco.

About six years and $20,000 ago, I made the switch to Apple products after a 20-year love affair with Microsoft. That love affair started with the humble PCjr and ended with an IBM ThinkPad. From DOS to the first version of Windows (the run-time version that only loaded one program), and on to Windows 95 and XP, I dealt with the viruses, driver incompatibilities and other assorted quirks of Microsoft's wildly open ecosystem.

It sucked to have to buy anti-virus software and reinstall Windows every 12 months, so moving to Apple's rock-solid and virus-free OS was, in a word, delightful.

Sure, everything on the Mac platform costs twice as much, but considering the fact that my entire career centers around a desktop connected to the Internet, it really doesn't matter if I spend $2 a day or $20 a day for my hardware. I replace everything at about a two-year pace (i.e. phone, MP3 player, desktop and laptop). So, at $10 a day, what some folks spend on Starbucks, I have a two year budget of $7,500 for my gear. In fact, the only things I don't replace every two years are my 30″ and 24″ Dell Monitors, which I tend to keep for five years.

Over the last 12-18 months, my love affair with Apple has waned. Steve Jobs' peculiar, rigidly closed, and severe worldview have started to cramp my style. It's not entirely Steve's fault, as Apple's style and grace are a large part of what drew me to the platform initially. My collection of Mac products now includes seven iPods ($1,500), four Mac laptops ($8,000), two Airports ($500), a Time Capsule ($500), two Mac towers ($4,000), a Mac Mini ($600), two iMacs ($4,000) and all three iPhones ($1,500).

The cost of these items is just over $20,000, or about $3,300 a year. That's almost exactly $10 a day–what I budget for technology in my life. Half of that is personal, half of that is probably business. While I know I am a high-end consumer, since I do this for a living, I think there are many folks putting $5-10 a day toward hardware. Blogger Robert Scoble of RackSpace must spend $20 a day and Leo Laporte of This Week in Tech must spend $40 a day!

Key Point 1: For the past six years, if Steve makes something, I buy it. Sometimes, I buy two (one for my wife).

Key Point 2: I over-pay for Apple products because I perceive them to be better (i.e. Windows-based hardware is 30-50% less–but at 38 years old I don't care).

The Love Affair Ends

===================

Steve's a great guy, and the love affair has been wonderful, but I'm starting to look past him and back to Microsoft for a more healthy relationship that is less–wait for it–anti-competitive in nature.

Years and years after Microsoft's antitrust headlines, Apple is now the anti-competitive monster that Jobs rallied us against in the infamous 1984 commercial. Steve Jobs is the oppressive man on the jumbotron and the Olympian carrying the hammer is the open-source movement

For folks in the tech industry, this is not a new discussion. Another radical visionary, Steve Gillmor, has been hosting this discussion since Apple's draconian iTunes updates led smart people to *downgrade* their software. Think about that mind bomb for a second: people downgrading their software to maintain their freedoms–is this a William Gibson novel?

Steve Jobs is on the cusp of devolving from the visionary radical we all love to a sad, old hypocrite and control freak–a sellout of epic proportions.*

[ * Important Note: I've written this piece three times over the past year and never released it. It felt like releasing something like this about a personal hero when they were, according to all counts, dying was too harsh. With Steve back to work and healthy for what will probably be his last five to ten years of full-time work (based on when most folks retire), I feel obligated to let this out. I know many folks in the industry are saddened to see our LSD-taking, radical free-thinking and fight the power hero, turning to the Dark Side. This note is written from a place of admiration and love. ]

The Case, The Five Parts

===================

I'd like to discuss four major issues around Apple's current product line that I believe are stifling the industry, consumer choice and pricing. Instead of just giving a simple solution to the problem, I thought long and hard about the opportunities for Apple to be less controlling and more open. For example, if the iPhone was available on more carriers, Apple would sell many, many more units, which would inevitably lead to people switching from Windows desktops to Macs (which is what happened with the iPod).

Bottom line: Of all the companies in the United States that could possibly be considered for anti-trust action, Apple is the lead candidate. The US Government, however, seems to be obsessed with Microsoft for legacy reasons and Google for privacy reasons.

The truth is, Google has absolutely no lock-in, collusion or choice issues like Apple's, and the Internet taught Microsoft long ago that open is better than closed.

Let's look at the case against, and the opportunities for, Apple:

  1. Destroying MP3 player innovation through anti-competitive practices

——————————————————–

There is no technical reason why the iTunes ecosystem shouldn't allow the ability to sync with any MP3 player (in fact, iTunes did support other players once upon a time), save furthering Apple's dominance with their own over-priced players. Quickly answer the following question: who are the number two and three MP3 players in the market? Exactly. Most folks can't name one, let alone two, brands of MP3 players.

On my trips to Japan, China and Korea over the past couple of years, I made it a point to visit the consumer electronics marketplaces like Akihabira. They are filled with not dozens, but hundreds, of MP3 players. They are cheap, feature-rich and open in nature. They have TV tuners, high-end audio recorders, radio tuners, dual-headphone jacks built-in and any number of innovations that the iPod does not. You simply will not see those here because of Apple's inexcusable lack of openness.

Not only does Apple not build in a simple API to attach devices to iTunes, they actually fight technically and legally block people from building tools to make iTunes more compatible.

Think for a moment about what your reaction would be if Microsoft made the Zune the only MP3 player compatible with Windows. There would be 4chan riots, denial of service attacks and Digg's front page would be plastered with pundit editorials claiming Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer were Borg.

Why, then, does Steve Jobs get a pass?

Steve Jobs gets a pass because we are all enabling him to be a jerk. We buy the products and we say nothing when our rights are stripped away. We've been seduced by Steve Jobs: he lifts another shiny object over his head with a new eco-friendly feature and we all melt like screaming schoolgirls at Shea Stadium in ‘65.

Simple solution and opportunity: An iTunes API which allows the attachment of any mass storage device,not just a short list of players that jumped through Apple's hoops. If need be, perhaps consumers pay a simple licensing fee of $1-5 a unit to attach a non-Apple MP3 player to iTunes (i.e. pure profit for Apple).

  1. Monopolistic practices in telecommunications

——————————————————–

Apple's iPhone is a revolutionary product that has devolved almost all of the progress made in cracking–wait for it–AT&T's monoply in the '70s and '80s. We broke up the Bell Phone only to have it put back together by the iPhone. Telecommunications choice is gone for Apple users. If you buy an Apple and want to have a seemless experience with your iPhone, you must get in bed with AT&T, and as we like to say in the technology space, ‘AT&T is the suck.'

Simple solution and opportunity: Not only let the iPhone work on any carrier, but put *two* SIM card slots on the iPhone and let users set which applications use which services. (Your phone could be Verizon and your browser Sprint!) Imagine having two SIM cards with 3G that were able to bond together to perform superfast uploads and downloads to YouTube.

  1. Draconian App Store policies that are, frankly, insulting

——————————————————–

Like lemmings, we fell for your bar charts extolling the openness of the iPhone App platform and its massive array of applications. We over-paid for your phone–which you render obsolete every 13 months, like clockwork–and then signed our lives away to AT&T. The way you pay us back is by becoming the thought police, deciding what applications we can consume on the device we over-paid for!

Yes, every application on the phone has to approved by Apple, and if you were interested in something adult in nature…well…you can't do that.

Apple's justification for this nonsense is that they have to protect AT&T's network. Oh really? Aren't there dozens and dozen of open phones on everyone's network? The network hasn't crashed yet, and even if someone did create a malicious iPhone application, you would know EXACTLY who was running the application and be able to block and/or turn off their phone. The network was MADE to deal with these issues on a NETWORK level. To say you have to control people down to the application level defies all logic. A second year CS student understands this.

Who in their right mind feels the need to control the application-level anyway? It's absurd.

Imagine for a moment if every application on Windows Mobile or Windows XP had to be approved by Microsoft–how would you react? Exactly. Once again we've enabled Steve Jobs' insane control freak tendencies. This relationship is beyond disfunctional–we are co-dependent.

Simple solution: Apple could have a basic system setting that says ‘Allow Non-Approved Applications.' When you click this setting, a popup could come on warning that, if you click this setting, you are waiving your previously-understood customer service arrangement (i.e. only people with approved applications can hand over their money at the Genius bar).

  1. Being a horrible hypocrite by banning other browsers on the iPhone

——————————————————–

Opera is a fantastic browser built by a company in Oslo, Norway. In fact, a decade ago, I had a speaking gig there and got to interview the CEO of the company for Silicon Alley Reporter. (Sidebar: Man, do I miss being a journalist. I wish I could split 50% of my time being a journalist and 50% of my time being a CEO.) For over a decade, Opera has been making lighting-fast, lightweight and quirky browsers. Long before Apple launched Safari, with the goal of designing the fastest browswer on the Web, Opera was already there.

Opera's mobile browsers are ‘full of WIN,' as the kids like to say these days. If you're a Windows Mobile or Blackberry user, you've probably downloaded them and enjoyed their WINness. The company started an iPhone browser project but gave up when faced with Apple's absurd and unclear mandate to developers: Don't create services which duplicate the functionality of Apple's own software. In other words: ‘Don't compete with us or we will not let you in the game.'

The irony of this is not lost on anyone who had a computer before they had an Internet connection. Apple was more than willing to pile on after Microsoft's disasterous inclusion of Internet Explorer with Windows. In fact, what Apple is doing is 100x worse than what Microsoft did. You see, Microsoft simply included their browser in Windows, still allowing other browsers to be installed. In Apple's case, they are not only bundling their browser with the iPhone, but they are BLOCKING other browsers from being installed.

Simple solution and opportunity: Don't be a control freak and hypocrite. Allow people to pick their browser; the competition to make a better browser will increase the overall use of iPhones and mobile data services.

  1. Blocking the Google Voice Application on the iPhone

——————————————————–

Apple took Google's innovative and absurdly priced phone offering, Google Voice, out of the App Store and is currently being investigated by the FCC for this action. This point is similar to the browser issue, in that Apple wants to own almost every extension of the iPhone platform. How long before Apple decides to ban a Twitter client in favor of an Apple Twitter-like product? Seems crazy, I know, but by following Apple's logic you should not be able to use Firefox or Google Chrome on your desktop.

Simple solution and opportunity: Let people have three or four phone services coming in to their iPhones and perhaps charge a modest licensing fee for those types of service. Or, just simply stop being jerks and let the free market decide how to use the data services they've BOUGHT AND PAID FOR. That's the joke of this: you're paying for the data services that Apple is blocking. You pay for the bandwidth and Apple doesn't let you use it because, you know, they know better than you how you should consume your data minutes.

In Summary

——————————————————–

I'm not a huge fan of government involvement in business, so I would rather see Apple resolve these issues for themselves.

In fact, I believe many forces are already at work, with Michael Arrington of TechCrunch and Peter Rojas of GDGT.com (and founder of Engadget) coming out publicly against these very issues. Neither of these two individuals will use an iPhone *specifically* because it is incompatible with their lives.

Apple will face a user revolt in the coming years based upon Microsoft, Google and other yet-to-be-formed companies, undercutting their core markets with cheap, stable and open devices. Apple's legendary comeback ability will be for naught if they don't deeply examine their anti-competitive nature.

Making great products does not absolve you from technology's cardinal rule: Don't be evil.

It also doesn't save you from Scarface's cardinal rule: Never get high on your own supply.

Questions:

  1. Do you think Apple would be more, or less, successful if they adopted a more open strategy (i.e. allowing other MP3 players in iTunes)?

  2. Do you think Apple should face serious antitrust action?

  3. Do you think Apple's dexterity and competence forgive their bad behavior?

all the best,

Jason

(Via The Jason Calacanis Weblog.)

We played in Toronto last night. It was our first Canadian gig and it went well. The club wasn't much to speak of, but that's to be expected from our first time in a new market. The promoter was pleased with the turnout, though earlier in the day there was a bit of handwringing over the lack of presold tickets. According to him people don't want to pay the TicketMaster surcharge, which adds up to well over half the base ticket price. This is from the mouth of the Live Nation promoter – “people don't want to pay the ridiculous TicketMaster surcharge”. I thought that dovetailed nicely with yesterday's post.

Anyway, I should do more writing on music, I think. That's obviously where I have a great deal more experience and relative expertise than software but it's just so old hat for me. I've turned to the software business as a mental escape from sitting in the van/bus and thinking about the music business. I'm tired of the music business. I've learned pretty much everything I care to know about the music business. So why keep doing it?

I was in a pretty lame mood yesterday. Toronto is very cool – at least the hood we were in – but I get burnt out on the traveling and the being gone from Michelle and Noah approximately two hours after I walk out the door. We've been in a tour bus for the last year, and the memory of being in the van is still fresh in my mind. The opening act last night was grilling me after the show about what it's like to ride in a bus. “It's fine, don't get me wrong, but you can get real tired of traveling around no matter what the vehicle.” I'll elaborate on professional bus travel in another post.

We played a great show last night, though.

After the show I remember thinking (because I wrote it down) “as tired as I am of traveling, that's as good as we're playing”. Meaning – all the glamour, the novelty, and the fun of traveling America has completely and utterly worn off by this point. The only thing that keeps me going is the music, and the music has been better than ever lately. Two nights ago at Niagara Falls I played better than I ever have before, without effort, and this has been happening a lot lately. I've been more often reaching a deeply meditative state while we play, I call it the Coltrane Zone. The music flows without thought to get in the way, and it's the most spiritual feeling I know. That's why I keep doing this.

I read a piece the other day that really irritated the holy crap out of me. An acquaintance had posted a link to this article proclaiming the “implosion of the concert business”. The examples he cites – Aerosmith, the Rolling Stones, Madonna, Bruce Springsteen, U2 – are all apparently seeing a downturn in their ticket sales for their most recent runs. This is not surprising to me and I assumed that it wouldn't be surprising to anyone, but according to Mr. Lefsetz it's a cause of concern for many a concert promoting Dinosaur.

This is the section that really kills me :

Maybe no one cares to the equivalent of a multiplatinum level anymore. Maybe the live business has to give that paradigm up. At least for a decade, until new acts are grown.

We want music that resonates. And we want music. Lady GaGa is outfits. Katy Perry is so second rate she's third rate. The future looks more like the Kings Of Leon. A band that's been around for years that finally breaks through. And doesn't break the bank when it sets ticket prices.

Now, ignoring the casual inattention to building proper sentences, he does make a salient point. If'n there is a decline in the overall concert business, it's obviously a parallel to the decline in the record business. I do believe that P2P sharing played a part in killing the record business of yore, but no more than the CD-R, no more than the laptop computer, and certainly not as much as the overall disposable quality of pop music over the last 15 years. People don't want to see those acts live. And the Kings of Leon? They're the future? So, the future looks exactly like the past – young, pretty kids that sound and act like the Rolling Stones that have a sugar-coated and easily swallowed press story. Kill yourself.

The reason that this depresses me is that the entire music business still views itself through the same lens that it has for the last 20 years – huge amounts of money to be made from relatively little effort, and if it doesn't pay off there are a hundred other candidates waiting to get in line for their shot. Not a single thought is paid to building a business (act) in the time tested manner that every other business has to go through in order to turn a long-term profit. The Police didn't do much on their first two albums, but 2 years after that they were the biggest act in the world. Luckily their label didn't dump them, or who would headline Bonnaroo 25 years on?

Just a side question – Who's gonna play the Super Bowl Half Time show in 10 years? Death Cab for Cutie?

The link

Do you have a computer?

Do you care about any of the files...

Good advice, worth repeating. I'm not even a “professional” and I get asked quite often what to do when someone's hard drive takes a dump.

And speaking of widgets, reports out today claim that Verizon is about to open its “Widget Bazaar” wider to developers in a bid to create an “app store” similar to the iPhone's. Like the iPhone store, there will be an approval process, and developers will be able to charge for their applications, with the revenue split likely being 70% to the developer and 30% to Verizon.

–> From a BusinessInsider article explaining some of the features that Verizon is rolling out on their FiOS broadband service. I hope that Verizon doesn't take too much more from Apple's playbook than the 30% cut and the seed of the idea on this, because a properly nurtured software market is, in my humble opinion, the future of rock and roll.

Despite the much advertised success, Apple actually hasn't gotten the AppStore quite right. See here, here and here for some very well reasoned complaints and observations from developers on how the process could be much more successful.

Chief among these complaints are the fact that the flipside of what makes Apple's products so successful (the closed and tight-lipped Apple ecosystem) is that they have tried to exert an amount of control over the AppStore that simply isn't feasible. The very idea of trying to “control” the open 3rd party market is an exercise in futility – Prometheus can't un-steal the fire.

Make no mistake, Steve Jobs would never have allowed 3rd party developers to start developing applications for his device had people not already been jailbreaking these phones by the hundreds of thousands. He's not the kind of guy who likes others cramping his style and having a market of people openly hacking the OS on their iPhone definitely qualifies as cramping his style. He succeeded in stemming the tide and turning it to Apple's advantage for a time, but the dike has been leaky the whole time. Remember the NDA? That's the ham-handed non-disclosure agreement that Apple had in place on all their developers after the official release of the iPhone SDK (software developers kit) which expressly forbid anyone from even talking about iPhone development. How are people supposed to make the most of your platform when you won't even allow a message forum for your developers to talk to each other and for newbies to learn? They did away with that provision several months ago, but their treatment of the developer community hasn't improved much since. The great irony in all of this is that the AppStore is absolutely jam-packed with total shit at the same time that well known and respected developers are having their hard work rejected for highly dubious reasons.

When the day comes that someone gets the ecosystem right – meaning the proper combination of user, manufacturer, and developer base – the beginning of the golden age of software will truly have begun. Since a little over a year ago I've imagined where we are now in the evolution of the software biz as being sort of like the dawn of radio, in the vacuum tube/fireside chat era. The invention of the transistor (and the portable radio soon after) ushered in the golden age of the music business, the Tom Dowd/Ahmet Ertegun days, when starting a band to make a living and maybe even get rich must've seemed like a reasonable proposition for a person with a modest amount of musical talent. For a person or a band with a lot of talent and business acumen to support it it must've been like the wild west. That's the sense I get from the software sector right now. That's why I'm here.

The record business vein is pretty well played out by many measures, but that's the nature of evolution. I think this little announcement by Verizon is actually big news...

Verizon's FiOS Stays Ahead Of Cable With More Internet Features

Found the link to this on the Music Think Tank. Haven't had time to pore over it yet, but it's almost certainly worth linking to.

Template for Writing a Music Business Plan

“I'm off to get a liver and might even die but oh wait, I'm back now and guess what, I saw God and here's the tablet computer that he wants you to use”

This guy is too much. Seriously. Read this...

iTablet: My hero's journey

From Vanity Fair. It starts off funny and gets pretty brutal by about page 3 or so.

Palin's Resignation: The Edited Version | vanityfair.com

“This line-of-credit, the stop-gap measure that was supposed to solve the problem that hadn't really existed in the first place had done nothing but worsen it. When we started the week, we had no liquidity issues. But because people had said that we did have problems with our capital, it became true, even though it wasn't true when people started saying it. . . . So we were forced to find capital to offset the losses we'd sustained because somebody decided we didn't have capital when we really did. So when we finally got more capital to replace the capital we'd lost, people took that as a bad sign and pointed to the fact that we'd had no capital and had to get a loan to cover it, even when we did have the capital they said we didn't have. “

  • From a New Yorker article by Malcolm Gladwell on the psychology of overconfidence, in this case how the rumor of illiquidity took down Bear Stearns in the matter of a week. Gladwell goes on to make parallels between the hammering of the finance industry and the disastrous British landing at Gallipoli in WWI, where the Brits thought they had it so in the bag that they landed with half the force that they needed to do the job.